Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.662690 0.750732 0.844558 0.951821 1.070876 1.198789 1.346438
2025-08-31 0.525093 0.647094 0.786664 0.957424 1.159937 1.391634 1.675933
2025-09-07 0.433604 0.577736 0.753708 0.982587 1.270431 1.618287 2.068081
2025-09-14 0.351441 0.504613 0.703517 0.977416 1.340937 1.802534 2.427964
2025-09-21 0.295675 0.455205 0.674508 0.992588 1.435629 2.023370 2.852918
2025-09-28 0.243123 0.400630 0.629396 0.978015 1.486122 2.188113 3.216770
2025-10-05 0.215795 0.377886 0.625068 1.018400 1.614584 2.467346 3.757224
2025-10-12 0.192768 0.357594 0.620733 1.056626 1.741553 2.752686 4.326559
2025-10-19 0.167567 0.329248 0.599342 1.064703 1.821889 2.974093 4.817140
2025-10-26 0.145738 0.302836 0.577014 1.067482 1.892266 3.183475 5.301932
2025-11-02 0.127231 0.279168 0.555771 1.068634 1.958386 3.388902 5.792040
2025-11-09 0.111657 0.258320 0.536424 1.070042 2.023546 3.595417 6.294944
2025-11-16 0.098694 0.240726 0.521141 1.077582 2.100835 3.828948 6.860325
2025-11-23 0.085687 0.220693 0.498451 1.068677 2.147915 4.014960 7.359414
2025-11-30 0.077200 0.209026 0.490623 1.086749 2.244481 4.290638 8.024524
2025-12-07 0.067143 0.191819 0.469006 1.075108 2.284428 4.469857 8.535113
2025-12-14 0.060413 0.181317 0.460102 1.087805 2.370921 4.736162 9.211360
2025-12-21 0.052308 0.165690 0.437678 1.069659 2.395342 4.891003 9.698486
2025-12-28 0.049180 0.162605 0.443313 1.111816 2.542546 5.280090 10.626821
2026-01-04 0.046185 0.159307 0.447968 1.152110 2.688714 5.675271 11.586206
2026-01-11 0.041682 0.150765 0.438771 1.160199 2.768525 5.948481 12.333698
2026-01-18 0.037415 0.142003 0.427772 1.162802 2.836552 6.202260 13.057012
2026-01-25 0.033563 0.133668 0.416659 1.163796 2.900793 6.451678 13.783838